SP-RLD alliance can create challenges for BJP

 The SP-RLD alliance in the Meerut division can spoil the game of BJP. While the BJP has many tasks to count in this area, the farmers' movement is a major challenge the party is facing.

Lucknow: This is from June 2019. In Meerut's Mohalla Prahladnagar, a section of people wrote outside their house – This house is for sale. When a hundred families talked about migration, there was a ruckus. 

Alleged that youths from other classes molested and made their life miserable. Such emotional issues reverberated across the country. Although there is a lot of wind of development in Meerut, in the electoral arena, such issues act as big bets here. 

This time too, in the election battle of Meerut, a big mountain of hopes of political parties is standing. In the last elections, the BJP had given a strong thrashing to all the parties in the entire division. BJP also has many tasks to count. But, even after all this, the election pitch is not that flat this time. 

The SP-RLD alliance can create challenges for the BJP. The issues of inflation, farmers' displeasure, entrepreneurs' problems, sugarcane prices will also take the BJP's test.

BJP has many tasks to count

Before moving on, let's talk about the 2017 elections. In Meerut Mandal, which was known for its vicissitudes, the BJP's dhobipachha paid off. Such was the storm that he hoisted the victory flag on 25 out of the 28 seats in the division. Only one seat each came in the share of SP, BSP, and RLD. Congress could not even open account in the entire Mandal. In Bulandshahr, Gautam Budh Nagar, and Ghaziabad, the pulses of any other party could not be melted. In the last five years, the winds of development have not only flowed here, but the crops of the issues have also flourished. The demand for the Meerut-Delhi Expressway was fulfilled. Vehicles also started filling up on the Meerut-Bulandshahr highway.

Work on a rapid train between Delhi and Meerut and a metro train in Meerut city also started. Bhoomi poojan has also been done for the widening of Meerut-Garhmukteshwar road. The BJP has been mentioning the riots in sensitive Meerut. On the other hand, when the Delhi-Saharanpur via Baghpat road was built, work was done on increasing the capacity of the mills. The medical college will be built in Bulandshahr. At the same time, work started on projects like Anupshahr Bulandshahr Marg, bridge over river Ganga, and Kali river. However, if we talk about the cities themselves, the demand for making ring roads in Meerut, Bulandshahr, etc. is years old, which could not be fulfilled.

Jewar airport big work, hope incomplete in Meerut

Jewar airport is a big job of the government. However, the hope of an airport in Meerut was not fulfilled. The result of the changed policies has been that investors came to Gautam Budh Nagar. Data parks, toy parks are being developed in which more than a hundred companies are trying their hands. Work was done on MSME Park, Logistics, Ware House, Cargo, etc. The Medical Device Park evolved. Dadri, Noida, Ghaziabad being an investment areas, Ghaziabad is also on the path of development.

but the edge of these issues is also not less.

In Ghaziabad and Noida, more than two lakh houses built by private builders are lying vacant, but the allottees have not been able to get possession. The government had made claims, but everything went to waste. The issues of reducing power tariff, compensation for the Economic Corridor are important. All the demands of entrepreneurs in sugar, handloom, sporting goods, agricultural equipment, electrical equipment, carpets, etc. have not been fulfilled yet. At present, Rajendra Sharma, a former MLA associated with RLD, says, "Farmers from flowers to sugarcane has been ruined.

Harbir, the crusher operator of Bulandshahr, raises the question, when the pace of employment has slowed down, then what has happened to the development? However, Arvind Sharma of Ghaziabad says that from law and order to development, the government has done a better job. Students are roaming unemployed, says engineering student Priyanshu Sharma. Inflation is a big issue. If you get work and inflation increases, it works, but if you do not get work and inflation increases, it is a disaster. This will have an impact on the BJP in the elections.

Law student Shivangi Singh says that women's safety is a big issue and in this government, not only women, but every section has got security. The criminals have been severely punished. There is no show on the streets anymore. Shalini, a medical student, says that the government has maintained its clean image. The BJP will get the benefit of the image of CM Yogi and PM Modi in this election as well.

Effect of Farmer movement

Meerut has played an important role in the movement for the return of the three agricultural laws. With the alliance of RLD with SP and the open support of BKU on it, the path of BJP is not going to be easy. Although now the laws are back, the farmers are not ready to accept them. The impact of this movement was also seen in the Panchayat elections and the SP-RLD had benefited a lot. Student Saurabh Chaudhary says that the government has proved to be a complete failure on the issues of farmers. Farmers are not getting the price for their crops. Sugarcane payment is not being done on time. The poor and the employed are also troubled. Everyone saw how much the farmers had to struggle over the agricultural laws. BJP will have to bear the brunt of this in the elections.

Fight for survival for Jayant

RLD is contesting this time under the leadership of its new chief Chaudhary Jayant Singh. For Jayant too, it is a fight for survival. Talking about the last election, RLD's account was opened only in Chhaprauli. The rest had to face defeat on both the seats of Baghpat. However, this time it has an alliance with SP.

Equation of Castes

In the Meerut division, where Jats, Gurjars, Brahmins, Vaishyas, Thakurs, etc. have an important role, there are large numbers of Muslims in most of the seats. Apart from this, the voters of Scheduled Castes have the power to change the result of any seat. Yadav is also decisive in many seats. Most important are the very backward who is the big strength of BJP. No one has been able to easily break into this class so far. Along with the Muslims, this time with the help of Jats and Yadavs, the SP is trying to get into the electoral battle, so the BJP believes that it has no fewer votes than the Jats. On the other hand, BSP is trying to connect other castes with its cadre voters in this election. The Congress is in a campaign to persuade Brahmins and other orthodoxies to join them.

All eyes on Mayawati's formula

Meerut is the home board of four-time Chief Minister of BSP supremo Mayawati. He has a huge vote bank across the board which is capable of changing the outcome of any election. Mayawati is trying hard to connect Brahmins with her cadre voters. He has also played Jat, Muslim equation, but what will be the result of this will be a matter to be seen. On the other hand, Azad Samaj Party founder Chandrashekhar has been active in Mandal for a long time. He is also trying to make a dent in the BSP cadre vote.

Math of seats: Meerut (7 seats)

Siwalkhas: Jitendra Satwai is an MLA from BJP. Contested and won elections for the first time.

Caste Equation: Muslim about 95 thousand, Jat 70 thousand, Jatav 40 thousand, Brahmin 21 thousand, Gurjar 17 thousand, Kshatriya 14 thousand, Prajapati 12 thousand, Tyagi 10 thousand, Valmiki and Kashyap 9-9 thousand, Goswami 8 thousand, Kori- Saini 6.5-6.5 thousand and others.

Sardhana: Firebrand leader from BJP Sangeet Som is MLA. Became MLA for the second time.

Caste equation: Muslim about 70 thousand, Jatav 52 thousand, Gurjar 44 thousand, Kshatriya 43 thousand, Jat 40 thousand, Saini 30 thousand, Prajapati 15 thousand, Goswami 9 thousand, Kashyap 8 thousand, Valmiki and Pal 7-7 thousand, Vaishya- Jains 6 thousand, Brahmins 4 thousand and others.

Hastinapur: Dinesh Khatik is an MLA from BJP.

Caste equation: Jatav about 71 thousand, Muslim 65 thousand, Gurjar 51 thousand, Jat 27 thousand, Valmiki 13 thousand, Brahmin 12 thousand, Vaish-Jain 11 thousand, Kshatriya and Kashyap 8-8 thousand, Tyagi 7 thousand, Punjabi 5 thousand and others.

Meerut City: Rafiq Ansari of Samajwadi Party is the MLA.

Caste Equation: Muslim about 1.40 lakh, Vaish-Jain 50 thousand, Jatav 41 thousand, Brahmin 35 thousand, Gurjar 20 thousand, Punjabi 10 thousand, Valmiki 7 thousand, Saini and Prajapati 5-5 thousand and others.

Meerut South: Somendra Tomar is an MLA from BJP. Became MLA for the first time.

Caste equation: Muslim about 1.45 lakh, Jatav 75 thousand, Vaish-Jain 45 thousand, Brahmin 41 thousand, Gurjar 40 thousand, Jat 23 thousand, Prajapati 17 thousand, Valmiki 14 thousand, Saini 13 thousand, Goswami 12 thousand, and others.

Kithor: Satyaveer Tyagi is an MLA from BJP. Became MLA for the first time.

Caste equation: Muslim about 1 lakh, Jatav 65 thousand, Gurjar 30 thousand, Kshatriya 22 thousand, Jat and Brahmin 19-19 thousand, Prajapati 17 thousand, Tyagi 16 thousand, Valmiki 11 thousand, Vaish-Jain 8 thousand, and others.

Meerut Cantt: BJP's Satyaprakash Agarwal is the MLA. Won elections on BJP ticket for the fourth time in a row.

Caste equation: Vaish-Jain about 50 thousand, Brahmin 35 thousand, Gurjar 20 thousand, Saini 17 thousand, Jatav 13 thousand, and others.

Mathematics of seats of Baghpat and Bulandshahr

Baghpat (3 seats)

Baghpat: Yogesh Dhama of BJP is the MLA. Left RLD and joined BJP and won the election.

Caste equation: Muslims are about 73 thousand, Jats 45 thousand, scheduled castes 29 thousand, Yadav 24 thousand, Gurjar 22 thousand, Brahmin 20 thousand, Tyagi 13 thousand, and Thakur 9 thousand.

Chhaprauli seat: Sahendra Singh Ramala was elected MLA on RLD ticket but later he joined BJP. This was the only seat won by RLD.

Caste equation: Jats about 1.30 lakh, Muslim 60 thousand, Kashyap 25 thousand, scheduled castes 20 thousand, and Gurjar 15 thousand.

Baraut: KP Singh of BJP is the MLA. Left RLD and joined BJP and won the election.

Caste Equation: Jats about 80 thousand, Muslims 45 thousand, Kashyap's 30 thousand, Scheduled Castes 25 thousand, Vaish 18 thousand, Gurjar 18 thousand, and Kshatriya 12 thousand.

Bulandshahr (7 seats)

Sayana: Devendra Singh Lodhi of BJP is the MLA.

Caste equation: OBC 1.33 lakh, General 72 thousand, SC-ST 56 thousand, Muslim 52 thousand.

Secunderabad: Vimla Solanki is the second time MLA from BJP.

Caste equation: Muslim about 90 thousand, Kshatriya 70 thousand, SC 70 thousand, Brahmin 30 thousand, Gurjar 20 thousand, Yadav 40 thousand, Jatt 30 thousand, Vaish 20 thousand and OBC 40 thousand.

Anupshahr: Sanjay Sharma is an MLA from BJP.

Caste equation: Scheduled castes 70 thousand, Muslim 62 thousand, Lodh-Rajput 60 thousand, Jat 50 thousand, Brahmin 35 thousand, Kshatriya, Saini and Vaish 25-25 thousand.

Shikarpur: Anil Sharma is an MLA from BJP. He was also in BSP earlier.

Caste equation: Scheduled castes are about 62 thousand, Brahmins 58 thousand, Muslims 50 thousand, Jats 49 thousand, Kshatriya 45 thousand, and Vaishya and Mali 11-11 thousand.

Khurja: Vijender Singh is an MLA from BJP.

Caste equation: Kshatriya 1.10 lakh, Jatav 58 thousand, Muslim 50 thousand, Jatt 30 thousand, Brahmin 30 thousand, other 90 thousand.

Dibai: Anita Rajput of BJP is an MLA.

Caste equation: Lodhi about 1.20 lakh, Muslim 40 thousand, Brahmin 37 thousand, Jatav 30 thousand, Vaish 15 thousand, Kshatriya and Yadav 12-12 thousand, other 67 thousand.

Bulandshahr (Sadar): Smt. Virendra Singh Sirohi's wife Usha Devi is a BJP MLA. Won in the by-election.

Caste equation: Muslim about 1.15 lakh, OBC 80 thousand, general 80 thousand, SC-ST 60 thousand, other 53508.

Mathematics of the seats of Ghaziabad, Gautam Budh Nagar, and Hapur

Ghaziabad (5 seats)

Sahibabad: Sunil Sharma is an MLA from BJP.

Caste equation: Muslims about 1.59 lakh, scheduled castes 1.15 lakh, Brahmins about 1.05 lakh, Tyagi 65 thousand, Yadav 43 thousand, Kshatriya 35 thousand, Vaish 47 thousand, Jatt 32 thousand, Gurjar 27 thousand, Kayastha 16 thousand and Christian 14 thousand.

Ghaziabad City: Atul Garg of BJP is the MLA.

Caste equation: Scheduled castes about 1.20 lakh, Muslim 75 thousand, Yadav 70 thousand, Brahmin 50 thousand, Vaish 45 thousand, and Gurjar 15 thousand.

Modinagar: Dr. Manju Siwach of BJP is the MLA.

Caste equation: Jats and Muslims are about 55-55 thousand, scheduled castes 50 thousand, Vaishya 35 thousand, Tyagi 25 thousand, Brahmin 20 thousand, Gurjar 18 thousand, and Kshatriya 15 thousand.

Loni City seat: Nand Kishore Gurjar of BJP is the MLA.

Caste equation: Muslim about 1.40 lakh, Gurjar and scheduled castes 80-80 thousand, Brahmin 65 thousand, Jatt 20 thousand, Vaishya and Tyagi 15-15 thousand, Kshatriya 10 thousand.

Muradnagar: Ajit Pal Tyagi, son of former cabinet minister Rajpal Tyagi, is an MLA from BJP.

Caste Equation: OBC about 85 thousand, Jats 76 thousand, Scheduled Castes 60 thousand, Brahmin 55 thousand, Muslim 55 thousand, Vaish 35 thousand, Yadav 25 thousand, Gurjar 19 thousand and Valmiki 15 thousand.

Gautam Budh Nagar (3 seats)

Noida seat: Pankaj Singh, son of Defense Minister Rajnath Singh, is an MLA from BJP.

Caste Equation: Brahmin about 1.30 lakh, Vaish 1.10 lakh, Muslim 70 thousand, Yadav 40 thousand, Gurjar 35 thousand, Kshatriya 25 thousand.

Dadri: Tejpal Singh Nagar is an MLA from BJP.

Caste Equation: Gurjars about 1.75 lakhs, Muslims 90 thousand, Brahmins 70 thousand, Kshatriya 45 thousand, Scheduled Castes 40 thousand, Jat and Valmiki 30-30 thousand, Yadav and Pal 25-25 thousand, Prajapati and Barber 12-12 thousand.

Jewar: Dhirendra Singh of BJP is the MLA.

Caste Equation: Scheduled Castes about 80 thousand, Kshatriya 75 thousand, Gurjar 72 thousand, Brahmin 35 thousand, Muslim 30 thousand and Vaish 10 thousand.

Hapur - (3 seats)

Hapur (Reserved): BJP's Vijaypal Arhti is the MLA.

Caste equation: Muslims about 1.10 lakh, scheduled castes 64 thousand, Jats 45 thousand, Vaishya 25 thousand, Brahmin 21 thousand, Kshatriya and Tyagi about 20-20 thousand, potter 17 thousand and Valmiki 12 thousand.

Garhmukteshwar: Dr. Kamal Singh is a BJP MLA.

Caste equation: Muslim about 1 lakh, Jatav 40 thousand, Jatt 38 thousand, Gurjar 35 thousand, Kshatriya and Chauhan 30 thousand, Brahmin and Tyagi 25-25 thousand, Lodhi Rajput and Valmiki 10-10 thousand,

Dhaulana: Aslam Choudhary was elected MLA on BSP ticket.

Caste Equation: Muslim about 1.80 lakh, Kshatriya 70 thousand, Jatav 45 thousand, Brahmin and Jatt 20-20 thousand, Vaish 17 thousand, and Valmiki 10 thousand.